McGill University

Montreal, Canada

Climate Risks, Uncertainties, and Opportunities
Bieler School of Environment 2023 Public Lecture
Thursday, October 5, 2023, 17:30-19:00
Moyse Hall Theatre, 853 Sherbrooke St. West
Arts Building, McGill University, Montreal, H3A 0G5

From McGill Reporter, announcing the talk:

What is the message you give to your students?
The world around us is changing, and it’s changing fast. Say you graduate with an MBA in the year 2023, and all you care about is making money (Nobody I’ve ever met is that jaded, everybody, of course, has a conscience, but let’s put all that aside for a minute). Well, you aren’t going to go into drilling for more oil and gas, or burning more coal. You go into “climate tech.” You focus on the technologies of the future as opposed to the technologies of the past.

Or to put bluntly: the first trillionaire isn’t going to be one because of fossil fuels, but because they’re getting us off them. That doesn’t mean there’s that one silver bullet out there we need to be searching for: it’s a slew of technologies. But sector by sector, we more or less know what they are. There’s plenty of R&D to do, but the name of the game is deploying low-carbon technologies, at scale, and fast.

What is the biggest obstacle to tackling the climate crisis in a serious and collective way?
Vested interest. Too much money in the status quo. That’s it. That’s the obstacle. None of this is a secret, much as it isn’t a secret that every barrel of oil and every ton of coal cause more in external damage than they add value to GDP. There are, of course, massive global externalities that have been causing — are still causing — this mess in the first place.

There is also a clear understanding of which way things need to go. Whether you talk to the Saudi finance minister or the UAE oil minister or the CEO of…, well pick your favorite villain. Nobody doubts the science, at least privately. None of it is “if” we move off fossil fuels, it’s “when.” And, of course, it’s who pays.

And yes, getting off fossil fuels pays. Not for every company, now. But it certainly pays off for the world, even from a purely economic perspective, too. Don’t like fossilflation? Get off fossil fuels.

How do we win the global clean energy race?
First, we need to recognize that it is a race. It truly is. The USA was a late entrant with its Inflation Reduction Act, but boy, the race is on.

The negative climatic tipping points are bad, probably much worse than most think. But look at the positive, socio-economic ones. Five years ago, heat pumps and induction stoves were those fancy technologies that may finally allow us to cut our gas lines one day. Well, today, IKEA sells induction plates for $60. In some countries, IKEA now sells solar panels and heat pumps. No, IKEA isn’t going to save the planet, but we are living in a new world. There’s a clear arrow pointing in the right direction and there’s no going back.

The right thing to do, economically too” by Daniel Lukes, McGill Reporter (28 September 2023); talk info.

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