Observational uncertainty is the primary source of climate uncertainty in impacts projections
by Kevin Schwarzwald, Nathan Lenssen, Thomas Bearpark, Alia Bonanno, Radley Horton, and Gernot Wagner
Climate risk
My research, teaching, writing, and speaking focused on climate risks and uncertainties, including e.g. everything related to calculating (and making sense of) the Social Cost of Carbon (SCC).
TMEC: "Climate shift uncertainty and economic damages"
Toronto, Canada
Fast Company: "There’s a deadly heat wave in Europe. Experts are begging media outlets to stop making it look fun"
by Kristin Toussaint
Beliefs, evidence, and climate action
by Mark Freeman, Ben Groom, Frikk Nesje, and Gernot Wagner
Ausschuss für Umwelt- und Ressourcenökonomie (AURÖ): "Climate shift uncertainty and economic damages"
Kassel, Germany
Advice for the Class of 2026: Get ready for uncertainty
Columbia Business School
Business & Society: Climate Change
Columbia Business School
Columbia Earth Week: "Plan C for Civilization: Film Screening and Panel"
Columbia Business School & Columbia Climate School
Columbia Business School: Climate Risk
Columbia Business School Spring 2026 B-term course
2nd Knightian Uncertainty Workshop
Center for Political Economy, Columbia World Projects
Columbia Society of Fellows/Heyman Center: "Climate and the Economy"
Columbia University
A bias-corrected & downscaled massive ensemble to diagnose uncertainty in climate impact projections
by Kevin Schwarzwald, Nathan Lenssen, Radley Horton, and Gernot Wagner
Cubist Systematic: "Climate risks & opportunities"
New York, NY
Early Investment in Decarbonization Can Help Save Trillions in Climate Costs
A net-zero world by 2100 is likely inevitable, but the next decade will be critical for securing a livable future.
Columbia Business School: Business & Climate Change
Spring 2026 January Block Week
The welfare cost of delayed climate policy
by Kent D. Daniel, Robert B. Litterman, and Gernot Wagner