Tempe, AZ

Thursday, January 21^st

18:30 – 20:30 p.m. Pre-Forum Dinner – Michael Hanemann (University of California, Berkeley, and Arizona State University), Michael Crow (Arizona State University), and Bob Litterman (Kepos Capital)

Friday, January 22^nd

6:30 – 8:00 a.m. Buffet Breakfast

8:05 – 8:15 a.m. Setting the Stage – Michael Oppenheimer (Princeton University) & Bob Litterman (Kepos Capital)

8:15 – 8:30 a.m. State of Knowledge – Bob Kopp (Rutgers University), Rachael Shwom (Rutgers University), Gernot Wagner (Environmental Defense Fund), and Jiacan Yuan (Rutgers University)

PART I:  TIPPING POINTS
(Chair: Michael Oppenheimer)

8:30 – 8:45 a.m. AMOC – Klaus Keller (Pennsylvania State University)

8:45 – 9:00 a.m. Ice Sheets – Ricarda Winkelmann (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research; via teleconference)

9:00 – 9:15 a.m. Methane hydrates – Dan Schrag (Harvard University)

9:15 – 9:30 a.m. Expert elicitation overview – Roger Cooke (Resources for the Future)

9:30 – 10:15 a.m. Synthesis & Discussion – Tim Lenton (University of Exeter), David Keith (Harvard University), and Ray Pierrehumbert (University of Oxford; via teleconference)

10:15 – 10:35 a.m. Break

PART II:  DAMAGES ASSOCIATED WITH TIPPING POINTS
(Chair: Michael Hanemann)

10:35 – 10:50 a.m. Known knowns – Sol Hsiang (University of California, Berkeley)

10:50 – 11:05 a.m. Best practice: the example of agriculture – Max Auffhammer (University of California, Berkeley)

11:05 – 11:20 a.m. Known unknowns – Geoff Heal (Columbia Business School)

11:20 a.m. – 12:05 p.m. Synthesis & Discussion – Michael Greenstone (University of Chicago) and Michael Hanemann (University of California, Berkeley, and Arizona State University)

12:05 – 12:20 p.m. Break & Buffet Lunch, arranging tables/conversations for Roundtable breakout discussions

Part III:  BRINGING IT ALL TOGETHER
(Chair: Bob Litterman)

12:20 – 1:00 p.m. Roundtable breakout group discussion over lunch/coffee: What are the top priorities for the emissions pricing research agenda?

1:00– 2:15 p.m. Synthesis Panel & Open Discussion of breakout group results – David Anthoff (University of California, Berkeley), Maureen Cropper (University of Maryland), Kent Daniel (Columbia Business School), Lars Hansen (University of Chicago), Chris Hope (University of Cambridge), Derek Lemoine (University of Arizona), and Christian Traeger (University of California, Berkeley)

2:15 – 2:30 p.m. Wrap Up & Next Steps – Michael Oppenheimer (Princeton University), Bob Litterman (Kepos Capital), and Frank Convery (Environmental Defense Fund)

Attendees: Danny Cullenward (Berkeley), Dan Dudek (Environmental Defense Fund), Steve Hamburg (Environmental Defense Fund), Peter Howard (New York University’s Institute for Policy Integrity), Larry Linden (Linden Trust for Conservation), Joseph Majkut (Niskanen Center), Robert O’Connor (National Science Foundation), Jorgen Thomsen (MacArthur Foundation), Scott Weaver (Environmental Defense Fund), Ivan Rudik (Iowa State), and V. Kerry Smith (Arizona State University)

Via teleconference: Myles Allen (University of Oxford), Michael Levi (Council on Foreign Relations), Ray Pierrehumbert (University of Oxford), and Ricarda Winkelmann (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)

Organizing Committee: Frank Convery, Michael Hanemann, Bob Litterman, Michael Oppenheimer, and Gernot Wagner

Tagged: Climate Shock, featured, Hard problem Soft thinking, Perspective, Science